Friday, October 30, 2009

Brazil Central Bk Buys Dlrs For BRL1.7420 At Spot Mkt Auction

Brazil Central Bk Buys Dlrs For BRL1.7420 At Spot Mkt Auction

RIO DE JANEIRO (Dow Jones)--Brazil's Central Bank bought U.S. dollars on the spot market at a snap auction Friday for BRL1.7420 per dollar, the bank said.

The bank did not reveal the volume of dollars bought.

Shortly before the auction the real was trading at BRL1.7410 and remained at that level immediately after the auction.

The real opened at BRL1.7300 per dollar Friday, a tad stronger than Thursday's close at BRL1.7301.

The central bank has been buying dollars at spot-market auctions in recent months to curb the appreciation of the Brazilian currency.

-By John Kolodziejski, Dow Jones Newswires; 55-21-2586-6086; john.kolodziejski@dowjones.com

GBP/USD rebounds sharply at 1.6415 and rises back above 1.6500

Cable tumbled to 1.6415 against the Dollar posting a fresh intra-day low but rebounded sharply and rose back above 1.6500. Currently the pair trades at 1.6502/07, 0.35% below today’s opening price. On the downside support lies at 1.6400 and below at 1.6330/40 (Oct 29 lows). Immediate resistance could be located at 1.6520 and above at 1.6580 (intra-day high).

Andrew Wilkinson, analyst at Interactive Brokers, affirms: “This week the Bank of England completed its £175 billion asset purchase program and next week investors will look for an extension. The pound is not yet discounting that potential as negative, something investors balked at only two weeks ago. Instead sterling is holding up well to the dollar at $1.6514 on Friday after data showed strengthening consumer confidence and the first annual gain for home prices in 19 months.”

Stocks retreat as worries mount about spending

Evidence that consumers are still holding off on spending drove stocks sharply lower Friday, tempering enthusiasm from the day before over the economy's growth in the third quarter.

Major stock indexes fell about 1.5 percent in midday trading, including the Dow Jones industrials, which tumbled about 150 points, giving back a chunk of the previous day's 200-point gain.

Investors shed stocks after the Labor Department said personal spending fell 0.5 percent in September. Though the decline was in line with forecasts, it was the largest drop in nine months and followed a 1.3 percent jump in August fueled by the government's popular Cash for Clunkers car rebate program.

A drop in the mood of consumers was also discouraging. The Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 70.6 in October from 73.5 in September. The reading was revised slightly higher from a preliminary estimate of 69.4 earlier this month, and was roughly in line with expectations.

The market is paying close attention to indicators of consumer spending, which is still in a slump despite improvements in other parts of the economy such as manufacturing and housing. Spending by consumers makes up a major part of the U.S. economy.

The day's news fanned fears that weak spending by consumers will continue to hold the economy back and put a damper on the market's excitement over a 3.5 percent jump in gross domestic product in the third quarter.

The stronger-than-expected GDP growth came after four straight quarters of declines and was the most promising evidence yet that the longest recession since the 1930s has ended. Stocks soared following the report, giving the Dow its best one-day performance since July.

But many economists worry that much of that growth came from government stimulus measures and that without a rebound in consumer spending the economic recovery won't be sustainable.

The Labor Department also reported Friday that personal income, the fuel for future spending, was flat in September compared with the previous month, in line with expectations. A lack of income growth is due, in part, to ongoing high unemployment rates, also a major worry for the market.

"Until we get to better employment numbers, it's hard to get real income growth and real spending ... and we're just not there yet," said Kurt Karl, chief US economist at Swiss Re. "Today is a reaction to a little bit of excess exuberance yesterday."

The Dow fell 153.57, or 1.5 percent, to 9,809.01. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 17.86, or 1.7 percent, to 1,048.25, and the Nasdaq composite index lost 31.46, or 1.5 percent, to 2,066.09.

Stocks have fallen for most of the past week on worries about the economy. A stronger dollar, which hurts commodities prices, has also weighed on the market.

The dollar rose again Friday, sending commodity prices lower. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold prices slipped about $6 to $1,040 an ounce, while oil prices tumbled $1.52 to $78.35 a barrel.

Bond prices rose as stocks fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.43 percent from 3.50 percent late Thursday.

Friday marks the end of the fiscal year for many mutual funds, which could be adding to the selling pressure in the market. Fund managers looking to minimize taxes for shareholders often sell some of their investments as the fiscal year comes to a close.

Analysts say trading is likely to remain volatile in the coming week amid a flood of major economic news, including the Institute of Supply Management's readings on the manufacturing and services industries, sales reports from major retailers and the Labor Department's October employment report -- arguably the month's most important piece of economic data. The Federal Reserve will also convene for a two-day policy meeting beginning Tuesday.

Without stronger evidence that the labor market is improving and consumers are feeling more comfortable about spending, investors will have trouble extending the market's massive rally into a ninth month. Even with this week's declines, the S&P 500 index is up about 55 percent since hitting a 12-year low in early March.

More than three stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 416.7 million shares, compared with 604.1 million at the same time a day earlier.

In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 10.78, or 1.9 percent, to 569.44.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 1.5 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 1.6 percent, Germany's DAX index dropped 2.8 percent, and France's CAC-40 declined 2.7 percent.

Friday, October 23, 2009

Mexico's Stocks Open Higher Peso Loses Ground Against Dollar

Mexico's Stocks Open Higher; Peso Loses Ground Against Dollar

By Anthony Harrup

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

MEXICO CITY (Dow Jones)--Mexico's stocks opened higher Friday as investors remained optimistic about company earnings.

The market's IPC index of leading issues was up 0.4% to 30,898.52 points around 10:30 a.m. EDT. Volume was 44.2 million shares worth 1.32 billion pesos ($102 million).

A Mexico City trader said the market remains volatile, with relatively strong earnings reports lending support despite lingering doubts about the economic recovery.

U.S. stocks started to react positively to better-than-expected U.S. existing home sales for September, but quickly turned lower again as industrials receded from the previous day's rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 0.5%.

A number of Mexican companies have reported solid third quarters. Bakeries concern Bimbo (BIMBO.MX) said its net profit rose 25% from a year ago, helped by a major acquisition in the U.S. and growth in Latin American sales. Mexican sales fell marginally. Bimbo A shares were up 2% to MXN81.56.

Media conglomerate Televisa (TV, TLEVISA.MX) CPO shares were up 0.1% to MXN52.50. Televisa's net profit in the quarter slipped 2.6% and came in slightly below estimates, although sales rose a more-than-expected 5.5%.

The peso was weaker against the dollar as the U.S. currency gained against major rivals. The peso was quoted in Mexico City at MXN12.9640 to the dollar, compared with MXN12.8920 Thursday.

Focus is likely to turn again to the 2010 budget debates. A group of opposition senators said Thursday they are seriously considering sending the 2010 income bill back to the lower house with changes.

The Ixe brokerage said the budget discussions could push the peso back above MXN13, given concerns about the possibility of a sovereign credit ratings downgrade.

-By Anthony Harrup, Dow Jones Newswires; (5255) 5001 5727, anthony.harrup@dowjones.com

Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=ZB8C9jZ9uAK8axaKl9M%2FEA%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

US Regional and State Unemployment Rates for Sep-STATS

US Regional and State Unemployment Rates for Sep-STATS
    WASHINGTON, (Dow Jones)--

Following are U.S. seasonally adjusted regional and state
unemployment rates:
p = preliminary; 1/ Metropolitan division. 2/ Metropolitan
statistical area.


Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Sep
Region/State 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008
Alabama 10.7 10.3 10.2 10.1 9.8 9.0 5.4
Alaska 8.4 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3 7.9 6.7
Arizona 9.1 9.1 9.2 8.7 8.2 7.7 6.0
Arkansas 7.1 7.1 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.5 5.2
California 12.2 12.3 11.9 11.6 11.6 11.1 7.8
Los Angeles-Long
Beach-Glendale 1 12.7 12.2 11.9 11.2 11.6 10.9 8.3
Colorado 7.0 7.3 7.8 7.6 7.6 7.4 5.0
Connecticut 8.4 8.1 7.8 7.9 8.0 7.9 6.0
Delaware 8.3 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.1 7.4 5.2
District of Columbia 11.4 11.1 10.6 10.9 10.7 9.9 7.4
Florida 11.0 10.8 10.8 10.7 10.3 9.7 6.7
Miami-Miami
Beach-Kendall 1/ 10.9 10.9 11.2 10.7 9.9 8.2 6.1

Georgia 10.1 10.1 10.3 10.1 9.6 9.2 6.6
Hawaii 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.3 7.4 6.9 4.4
Idaho 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.0 5.4
Illinois 10.5 10.0 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.4 6.7
Chicago-Naperville-
Joliet 1/ 10.5 9.8 10.5 10.5 10.5 9.7 6.4
Indiana 9.6 9.9 10.6 10.7 10.6 9.9 6.1
Iowa 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.2
Kansas 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.5 4.6
Kentucky 10.9 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.7 9.9 6.9
Louisiana 7.4 7.8 7.4 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.6
Maine 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.6 8.3 7.9 5.6

Maryland 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 6.8 4.6
Massachusetts 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.6 8.2 8.0 5.6
Michigan 15.3 15.2 15.0 15.2 14.1 12.9 8.9
Detroit-Warren-
Livonia 2/ 17.8 17.3 16.4 16.3 15.3 14.4 9.0
Minnesota 7.3 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.1 8.0 5.4
Mississippi 9.2 9.7 9.7 9.1 9.7 9.1 7.4
Missouri 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.0 8.1 6.3
Montana 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.0 4.7
Nebraska 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.5 3.4
Nevada 13.3 13.2 12.5 11.9 11.2 10.6 7.3
New Hampshire 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.3 3.9

New Jersey 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.2 8.8 8.4 5.8
New Mexico 7.7 7.4 7.0 6.8 6.5 5.8 4.4
New York 8.9 8.9 8.6 8.7 8.2 7.7 5.8
New York City 10.3 10.2 9.5 9.4 8.9 8.0 6.0
North Carolina 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.1 10.7 6.8
North Dakota 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.1 3.3
Ohio 10.1 10.8 11.2 11.1 10.8 10.2 6.8
Cleveland-Elyria-
Mentor 2/ 8.7 9.2 9.3 9.5 10.1 9.2 6.6
Oklahoma 6.7 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.2 4.0
Oregon 11.5 12.0 11.8 12.0 12.2 11.8 6.8
Pennsylvania 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.3 7.8 5.6
Rhode Island 13.0 12.8 12.7 12.4 12.1 11.1 8.5

South Carolina 11.6 11.4 11.7 12.1 12.0 11.4 7.5
South Dakota 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.8 3.2
Tennessee 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.7 9.9 6.9
Texas 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.6 5.1
Utah 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 3.4
Vermont 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.3 7.4 7.3 4.8
Virginia 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.1 6.8 4.1
Washington 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.1 9.0 5.5
Seattle-Bellevue-
Everett 1/ 8.9 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.1 7.8 4.7
West Virginia 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.1 8.4 7.7 4.3
Wisconsin 8.3 8.8 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.6 4.7
Wyoming 6.8 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.0 4.5 3.2

Puerto Rico 16.2 15.1 15.5 14.5 14.4 15.4 12.0

NOTE: Data refer to place of residence. Data for Puerto Rico are
derived from a monthly household survey similar to the Current Population
Survey. Area definitions are based on Office of Management and Budget
Bulletin No. 06-01, dated December 5, 2005, and are available at
http://www.bls.gov/lau/lausmsa.htm and in the May issue of Employment
and Earnings. Estimates for the current year are subject to revision
early in the following calendar year.
Data have been revised to incorporate new estimation methods and updated
Census-2000 population controls.

-By Rodney Christian; Dow Jones Newswires; 202-646-1880;
csstat@dowjones.com

GBP/USD falls further to 1.6320

Cable continues to fall across the board. GBP/USD slid further to 1.6320, posting a fresh intra-day low. The pair continues it collapse form 1.6690 (one-month high) reached early on Friday during the European session. Currently it trades at 1.6351/55, 1.60% below today’s opening price. On the downside the next support below 1.6300 lies at 1.6240 (Oct 19 low).

The Sterling is suffering the biggest daily decline in a month and lost a big part of weekly gains.

Andrew Wilkinson, analyst at Interactive Brokers, affirms: “A sixth consecutive quarterly decline in British GDP marked the longest recorded string of negative growth readings since records began in 1955. A 0.4% quarterly decline confounded expectations for a 0.2% gain and created an immediate slump in the value of the pound (…) In Monopoly terms, Britain drew a “miss-a-turn” card from the Community Chest pile. Today’s data gives the British economy the appearance as the clear laggard mired in recession. But when you look at the pound relative to recent lows against its two majors, it’s actually performing rather well.”

Monday, October 19, 2009

Dutch court declares regional bank DSB bankrupt

AMSTERDAM (AP) -- A Dutch court declared DSB Bank NV bankrupt on Monday, ending hopes the regional lender, which has suffered a run on deposits, might be sold or bailed out.

The privately-owned bank is the first to go bust in the Netherlands since last year, though the government and regulators insist its failure was not directly related to the credit crisis.

"The court concludes that the utmost was done for DSB to continue as a whole entity, and there is no prospect of that anymore," the Amsterdam District Court said in a summary of its ruling.

DSB was put into receivership of the Netherlands' central bank a week ago. Customers had withdrawn about a sixth of the euro4.3 billion ($6.4 billion) the bank had in deposits at the start of the month.

The government insures the first euro100,000 of retail bank accounts. Finance Minister Wouter Bos said Monday that money will be paid by Christmas.

Meanwhile the bank's new curators will work to wind down operations and pay creditors, who will suffer large losses. Most of the bank's 2,000 employees will lose their jobs and 1,300 were laid off on Monday.

The failure has raised questions about the functioning of Dutch financial institutions, oversight bodies and the government -- as well as DSB's own lending practices.

The catalyst for the run on DSB was a call by Pieter Lakeman, an industry gadfly, for customers to withdraw their deposits in protest because the bank had improperly overcharged mortgage customers.

The central bank and Finance Minister Wouter Bos have recommended that DSB consider trying to hold Lakeman liable for damages.

Lakeman has responded that DSB's fall was inevitable and the central bank, which had been aware of problems at DSB for more than a year, failed in its oversight duties.

The bank's founder and main owner Dirk Scheringa also blames the central bank and the government, saying their intentional leaks to the media created an air of uncertainty around DSB that proved fatal.

In addition, he has questioned why major Dutch financial institutions such as ING Bank NV, ABN Amro, and Aegon NV received multibillion euro bailout packages when they ran into trouble, but DSB could not arrange comparatively modest assistance.

"We didn't go bankrupt, we were destroyed," Scheringa said, adding that he has lost everything except his house.

Finance Minister Bos initially attempted to broker a deal whereby banks that received government bailouts would buy DSB, but they demanded terms that were prohibitively expensive, he said.

Once the bank was in receivership, saving it became impossible because depositors would have pulled their money out instantly if given the chance, his minstry said in a statement Monday.

"The bank brought its problems on itself by its policies, unrest among clients, unclear communication and the insecurity that caused," it said.

DSB was based in a town called Wognum, 50 kilometers north of Amsterdam but well outside the corridors of political power. Its growth in recent years upset the status quo in a market with just a handful of competitors.

It was best known for television commercials that aired frequently promising low rates on personal loans.

Bos has ordered several independent investigations, and legal procedings by the various parties involved are likely to last for years.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Oil jumps above $79 in Asia to 2009 high

Oil prices jumped above $79 a barrel to a 2009 high Monday in Asia as investors looked to the corporate earnings of big U.S. retailers this week for signs the consumer may be regaining confidence.

Benchmark crude for November delivery rose as much as 52 cents to $79.05 a barrel but later fell back and was up 24 cents at $78.77 by midday Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract added 95 cents to settle at $78.53 on Friday.

Last week, crude broke out of a five-month trading range between $65 and $75 a barrel on a weakening U.S. dollar and expectations that oil demand will eventually recover as the global economy grows next year.

Investors will be eyeing third quarter results from retailers this week for clues about the strength of the U.S. consumer. Apple Inc., McDonald's Corp., appliance maker Whirlpool Corp. and toy maker Hasbro Inc. are among those reporting this week.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil rose 0.62 cent to $2.03 a gallon. Gasoline for November delivery slipped 0.48 cent to $1.97 a gallon. Natural gas for November delivery jumped 6.2 cents to $4.84 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Colombia IGBC Stock Index Rises On Expectations Of Lower Rates

Colombia IGBC Stock Index Rises On Expectations Of Lower Rates

BOGOTA (Dow Jones)--The Colombian stock index rose Friday on investors' expectations the central bank may further cut interest rates in a bid to slow the peso appreciation.

The benchmark IGBC stock index rose 0.7% to 10,942.50 points.

"Investors bought stocks as some of them expect the country's central bank may cut interest rates," said Cesar Tovar, market analyst with local brokerage Nacional de Valores.

Lower interest rates make companies' financial costs fall.

On Thursday evening, Colombian Finance Minister Oscar Ivan Zuluaga said the central bank will evaluate whether to start buying dollars on the spot market to tame the appreciation of the peso.

He said the bank will evaluate taking other measures.

Shares of Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana SA (GRUPOSURA.BO) rose 1.8% to 23,200 Colombian pesos ($12.58).

Shares of state-controlled telephone company Empresa de Telecomunicaciones de Bogota SA (ETB.BO), or ETB, rose 3.6% to COP901.

The Colombian peso strengthened to 1,843.5 pesos to the dollar, from COP1,846 on Thursday. The yield on the benchmark peso-denominated government bond maturing in 2020 fell to 8.603% from 8.748% on Thursday.

-By Inti Landauro, Dow Jones Newswires; 57-310-867 65 42; colombia@dowjones.com

Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=keLYY06vnPwnr4LqYCdj5w%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.

Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Finally, the Euro reached new tops for this year, and came very close to our favorite target 1.4901 (the high until this very moment is 1.4898). By taking a look at the drawn channel we find that the important question now is will 1.50 be the next stop? To answer this question, we must estimate the strength of the resistance levels in this area, especially 1.4901 & 1.4953.

USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Price could neither break the resistance 90.27, nor the support 88.96 (which was exactly the lowest price after the issuance of the report), and that is why we spent the whole day in a very tight range. What is worth notice this morning, that the falling trendline from 90.44 on the hourly chart, has many touch points with the price.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Forex Trading Tips

  • Euro / Dollar Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders :-

The Euro stopped at the resistance established in Friday's report 1.4772 with amazing accuracy, a stop which was a signal that we are heading to areas below 1.47. And now, there is a resistance that combines the rising trendline drawn from 1.4566, and the falling trendline drawn from 1.4816, and is currently at 1.4725, if price stay below it, we are heading south.


  • USD / JPY Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders:-

The Dollar-Yen is testing the limit of the downtrend, which is represented by the falling trendline from August 9th top, and if it is broken , then the Dollar would be invited to show how deep its real strength is over a series of resistance areas starting at 90.67 and reaches 91.63. The resistance that is attached to this line is 90.29, and if broken, then the line is broken, and the next stop would be 90.67 which is an important stop on the way to the most important stop in these areas 91.63. Short-term support is at 89.32, and if broken the direction would be down to test the important support 88.68, which must hold to prevent another attempt to test 87.97 which survived last week's attempt for a break.

Monday, October 12, 2009

AIG sells Taiwan insurance unit Nan Shan for $2.15B to investor group led by Primus Financial

NEW YORK (AP) -- Insurer American International Group Inc. said late Monday it has agreed to sell its nearly 98 percent stake in Taiwan unit Nan Shan to an investor group led by Hong Kong's Primus Financial for about $2.15 billion.

Nan Shan, which serves more than 4 million life insurance policy holders in Taiwan, is the third-largest life insurer in the country by total premiums. Established in 1963, it operates a network of 24 branches and 450 agency offices.

The Primus consortium, which also includes investment firm China Strategic Holdings Ltd., will maintain the Nan Shan brand. It also has agreed to retain existing compensation and benefits packages for Nan Shan's 4,000 employees and the agency's organizational and commission structure for at least two years after the deal closes. The current Nan Shan management team will remain in place.

When the credit crisis hit last year, the U.S. government rescued New York-based AIG with a loan bailout package worth up to $182.5 billion in exchange for 80 percent ownership of the huge insurer. AIG is shedding assets in an effort to repay government aid. In July AIG completed the sale of 21st Century Insurance Group, part of its personal auto insurance division, to Farmers Group Inc. for $1.9 billion.

AIG said Blackstone Advisory Partners and Morgan Stanley acted as its financial advisers and Debevoise & Plimpton LLP and Lee & Li served as legal advisers on this transaction, which is still subject to regulatory approval.

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Mortgage applications surge to 4-month high

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. mortgage applications surged last week to their highest since mid-May as consumers sought to take advantage of the lowest interest rates in months, data from an industry group showed on Wednesday.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, the most widely used loan, were below 5 percent for a third straight week, reaching a four-month low. Demand for home refinancing loans was the highest since mid-May.

Appetite for applications to buy a home, a tentative early indicator of sales, climbed to the highest level since early January. The trend bodes well for the hard-hit U.S. housing market, which has been showing signs of stabilization.

The MBA said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications, which includes both purchase and refinance loans, for the week to October 2 increased 16.4 percent to 756.3, the highest since the week ended May 22.

"The residential housing market appears to be stabilizing due to lower mortgage rates," said Alan Rosenbaum, president of Guardhill Financial, a New York-based mortgage banker and brokerage company.

"The affordability factor, which takes into consideration both price and mortgage rates, has been very positive of late," he said.

Low mortgage rates, high affordability and the federal government's $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers -- part of the stimulus bill -- have helped pave the way for stabilization.

But with the tax credit set to expire on November 30 and distressed properties making up a high proportion of sales, the recent uptick in activity may mask uncertainty about the long-term outlook.

Rising unemployment is another obstacle. The U.S. Labor Department last week said the jobless rate reached a 26-year high of 9.8 percent in September.

Borrowing costs on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, excluding fees, averaged 4.89 percent, down 0.05 percentage point from the previous week and the lowest since the week ended May 22.

The rate remained above the all-time low of 4.61 percent set in the week ended March 27. The survey has been conducted weekly since 1990. Nevertheless, interest rates were well below the year-ago level of 5.99 percent.

The MBA's seasonally adjusted purchase index rose 13.2 percent to 306.1, its highest since the week ended January 2.

The four-week moving average of mortgage applications, which smooths the volatile weekly figures, was up 4.2 percent.

REFINANCING JUMPS

The Mortgage Bankers seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications increased 18.2 percent to 3,377.1, with the index at its highest since the week ended May 22.

The refinance share of applications increased to 66.3 percent from 65.3 percent the previous week, but remained significantly lower than the peak of 85.3 percent in the week to January 9. The adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity decreased to 6.1 percent, down from 6.2 percent the prior week.

The U.S. housing market has suffered the worst downturn since the Great Depression and its impact has rippled through the recession-hit economy, as well as the rest of the world.

The housing market, however, has been showing signs of stabilization, with sales rising and price declines moderating in many regions of the country. In fact, home prices in some areas have risen.

Some analysts, however, say prices may fall again, with a new wave of foreclosures in the pipeline.

Fixed 15-year mortgage rates averaged 4.32 percent, down from 4.34 percent the previous week. Rates on one-year ARMs increased to 6.56 percent from 6.40 percent.

Oil falls below $70 a barrel as traders focus on weak US demand

Benchmark crude for November delivery lost $1.15 to trade at $69.73 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude gave up 68 cents to $67.88 on the ICE Futures exchange.

Prices dropped immediately after the Energy Information Administration reported that the nation's oil supply dropped by 1 million barrels last week. The drop was unexpected -- analysts thought stockpiles would grow by 1.9 million barrels -- but investors found little else to like in the report.

Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service, said crude demand continues to be unimpressive, noting that the U.S. still has more oil in storage than last year.

NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices fell Wednesday as traders shrugged off an unexpected drop in crude supplies and focused instead on government data that showed Americans still have little appetite for more petroleum.

American petroleum consumption has cooled so much that Sunoco, Inc. announced Tuesday that it would idle its Eagle Point refinery in Westville, New Jersey. As part of the decision, Sunoco said it would furlough 400 workers and cut its dividend.

"Most people look at Sunoco and wonder, who else is going to shut down until things improve?" Kloza said.

The EIA report also said that total petroleum supplies grew last week. Gasoline inventories grew by 2.9 million barrels last week and distillate fuel supplies grew by 700,000 barrels. Analysts expected smaller increases for both.

In other Nymex trading, gasoline for November delivery gave up 4.54 cents to trade at $1.7273 per gallon, and heating oil lost 2.53 cents to $1.7889 a gallon. Natural gas for November delivery added 6.1 cents to $4.941 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Monday, October 5, 2009

Service sector grows in Sept., 1st time in year



Private trade group: US service sector grew in Sept. for 1st time in year; jobs remain scarce

NEW YORK (AP) -- The U.S. service sector grew in September for the first time in 13 months, an encouraging sign for the fledgling economic recovery, although jobs remain scarce.

The Institute for Supply Management said Monday that its service index hit 50.9 last month, up from 48.4 in August. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected a reading of 50, the dividing line between growth and contraction.

The index, which tracks more than 80 percent of the country's economic activity, including hospitals, retailers, financial services companies and truckers, hadn't grown since August 2008.

The good news:

  • The new orders index, an indicator of future activity, jumped to 54.2 in September from 49.9 a month before, the first growth reading in a year.
  • Businesses' backlog of orders grew for the first time in 14 months.
  • Present business activity rose to 55.1 from 51.3 in August, growing for the second straight month after 10 straight contractions.

The ISM report is based on a survey of the institute's members in 18 industries and covers indicators such as new orders, employment and inventories. Five industries grew last month: utilities, health care, retail, construction and wholesale trade. And while activity is rising, only three areas reported an increase in jobs: health care, support services for companies and educational services.

Overall, service-sector employment shrank in September, though at a slightly slower pace than in August. The survey's reading of 44.3, up from 43.5, was the 20th month of contraction in 21 months.

"Better, but still terrible," Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, wrote in a research note.

Other analysts said any hiring tends to lag increased production.

"We won't likely see increased hiring until January," even if business and new orders keep rising this fall, said Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Ethan Harris.

"Businesses are more reluctant than in the past to start the hiring process. They really do take the 'prove it to me' attitude" that the recession is over and demand is increasing, he said.

Last week, for example, Little Rock, Arkansas-based telecom services provider Windstream Corp. said it would cut 350 jobs, or 5 percent of its work force, this year.

Despite the overall growth, the chair of the ISM's service survey committee was not "overly excited" about September's report and said several months of increases are needed to establish a pattern of recovery.

"This has to be sustainable," Anthony Nieves said on a conference call with reporters.

The service sector is dependent on consumer spending, which powers about 70 percent of the economy. While Americans' spending rose 1.3 percent in August, the best showing since October 2001, a third of that gain came from the government's now-ended Cash for Clunkers program. The government also reported that incomes rose only 0.2 percent in August.

"We're in this kind of twilight zone of very soft recovery," Harris said.

Deal proposed to Lehman Brothers Europe creditors

Administrators of Lehman Brothers outline proposal for direct settlement with creditors

LONDON (AP) -- The administrators of Lehman Brothers' assets in Europe said Monday that they may seek a direct agreement with hedge funds and other creditors to return money tied up since the collapse of the parent company as an alternative to a court-sanctioned settlement.

PricewaterhouseCoopers -- which controls some $8.9 billion in assets from Lehman Brothers International (Europe) since the parent company went bankrupt on Sept. 15, 2008 -- has proposed a contractual agreement with creditors following an adverse ruling by the High Court in London. The court ruled in July that it had no power to grant the administrators' request to set a "bar date" or deadline for creditors to file claims.

PricewaterhouseCoopers is appealing the court ruling, with a hearing expected on Oct. 26, but meanwhile it has disclosed a timetable for the alternate settlement.

The administrators sought a bar date because they had not received responses from all clients of Lehman Brothers, they could not depend on the accuracy of Lehmans' record and had not received all the information requested from custodians, depositories and affiliates of Lehman Brothers International (Europe).

"The administrators are anxious that the appeal process should not lead to any unnecessary delay in the return of client assets," PWC said on its Web site.

"Therefore, in parallel with the appeal process, they are developing alternative proposals that would also assist with the return of client assets, whether or not the appeal is ultimately successful."

PWC proposed a bar date of Jan. 31, after which it would be free to distribute trust property. The date would apply either under a contractual agreement or a court-approved settlement.

Steven Pearson, joint administrator of Lehman Brothers International (Europe) and a partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers, said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal published Monday that he hopes to get support for the alternate plan from at least 90 percent of creditors.

PWC set a target of December for meeting that threshhold.

Lehman Brothers International Europe had around 23 billion pounds ($41 billion) in client assets on Sept. 15, 2008, the day its U.S. parent filed for bankruptcy protection.

PWC said last month that some $13 billion of assets have been returned through individual bilateral agreements.

Barclays Bank PLC bought Lehman Brothers' investment banking and capital markets businesses in the United States, and Nomura Holdings Inc. acquired Lehman's equities business in Asia and Europe. Remaining assets are subject to proceedings both in Britain and the United States.

Last month, U.S. Rep. Gregory Meeks of New York sponsored a resolution in Congress calling for the United States and Britain to work to quickly resolve claims.

"There are many universities, foundations, non-profits and U.S. citizens who have assets that are being withheld and who are being affected tremendously," Meeks said.

High court refuses to hear insider trading appeal

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Supreme Court has refused to hear former Qwest CEO Joseph Nacchio's appeal of his insider trading conviction.

The court said Monday it would not entertain Nacchio's request that he either be acquitted of the charge or granted a new trial.

Prosecutors said Nacchio sold $52 million worth of stock in 2001 while knowing that Denver-based Qwest Communications International Inc. would have trouble meeting its sales goals. Nacchio began serving a six-year sentence on April 14. He contended the jury was given improper instructions about what internal information had to be disclosed publicly. He also argued that the trial judge improperly barred testimony from an expert who could have explained Nacchio's trading patterns.